The Daily Telegraph disclosed in June that the proposed road would cut
a broad swathe 31 miles long through the northern part of the
5,698-square-mile National Park, close to the border with Kenya.
The alternative route invoked by the experts would be around 155 miles farther
south, below the Ngorongoro Conservation Area. Tanzania's authorities are
finalising design options, and it is expected that construction could start
within 12 months.
But the experts, writing in a commentary published by the science
journal Nature, urged the Tanzanian government halt the work and
seek an alternative route that runs further south from the UN-listed haven.
In other parks, such as Canada's Banff National Park, Etosha National Park in
Namibia and the Kgalagadi Transfrontier Park in Botswana, fences and roads
on migratory routes have triggered a collapse in the ecosystem.
"The road will cause an environmental disaster,” the experts wrote.
"Simulations suggest that if wildebeest access to the Mara river in
Kenya is blocked, the population will fall to less than 300,000.
"This would lead to more grass fires, which would further diminish the
quality of grazing by volatising minerals, and the ecosystem could flip into
being a source of atmospheric CO2."
They added: "The proposed road could lead to the collapse of the largest
remaining migratory system on Earth – a system that drives Tanzania's
tourism trade and supports thousands of people," conclude the authors.
"Such a collapse would be exceedingly regrettable for a country that has
consistently been a world leader in conservation."
The idea linking Tanzania's coast to Lake Victoria and Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi
and the Democratic Republic of Congo has been around for two decades.
But with Tanzania due to stage elections next month, the scheme has gained in
priority because of increasing foreign interest in exploiting the mineral
wealth of central Africa.
The United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organisation (Unesco)
has already expressed its "utmost concern" about the proposal.
The RSPB in the UK, the US-based Wildlife Conservation Society, and the
Zoological Society of London are also all against the plans.
More than 100,000 tourists visit the Masai Mara during the peak migration
months between July and October.
A spokesman for the Tanzanian government was unavailable for comment.
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